what is provera used to treat lynoral 0 05 mg hydrodiuril manufacturer refurbished cytotec induction process baytril antibiotic for dogs vosteran search removal guide lipitor form liquid microcidal tablets for toddlers sertraline medication used for confidex reviews what is tinidazole 500mg used for paypal pharmacies amoxicillin online mexico eli lilly cialis buy levlen online no perscription atenolol medication dosages acnelyse gelsons harga pil cytotec is ezetimide sold over the counter alesse birth control generics montelukast precio zovirax side effects nitrazepam prospective definition medrol side effects burning sotalol 80 mg prices over the counter prednisone for dogs contrave diet pills approved by fda on line pharmacies in belize careprost for lashes by online ciprodex manufacturer coupon healtyman viagra coupons walmart drug prices for cialis dapoxetine hydrochloride dosage seroquel for anxiety and insomnia lexapro withdrawal symptoms duration buy ethinyl estradiol online cheap brand viagra buy tylenol 4 online buy lortabs from canada sky pharmacy canada cialis mg information medrol dose pack dosage and administration cheap viagra pills india paysafecard acheter viagra is duloxetine ototoxic buy neurontin paypal get tadalifil periactin weight gain in children buy cialis online without prescription pharmacy online 365 review achat slimex 15 mg medicstar reviews for 50 citrate sildenafil iraplax orlistat 120mg capsules caffeine side effects duphaston 10mg dydrogesterone film ativan medication for anxiety tramadol hcl 50mg treatment tramadol hydrochloride nizagara 100 mg vs viagra insurance institute for highway safety booster flurazepam 30 mg capsule canesoral reviews on garcinia kamagrashop nll zithromax antibiotic for chlamydia pfizer stock quote budesonide side effects in toddlers potassium deficiency symptoms in humans and anxiety buspar for sale tapiales construccion de hornos dalacin t gel 1 effect accutane and blood tests medrol dose pack instructions picture risnia medicine wheel linezolid 600 mg iv parcopa orally disintegrating alprazolam non prescription viagra in usa acyclovir overnight cheap nexium no prescription periactin online order coversyl side effects drugs what did you tell doctor viagra for men in usa zolpidem pharmacy canadian viagra sans ordonnance viagra triangle chicago raymeds complaints against attorneys dosing albendazole for pinworms cipralex withdrawal how long kamagra for sale in durban mail order cialis from canada lasuna pantsapreneur indomethacin 50mg capsules online presdidsone without a rx carafate suspension medication for dogs generic stenda betanoid 0 5mg cialis xenical price lergigan 25mg tramadol imiquimod cream treatment side effects india pharmacies online otibact ear drops 15ml to tablespoon euroclinix reviews on vigrx medyka ukraine russia prilosec side effects in infants lisinopril overdose in children ordering gluphage software programs for accounting advantage sales and marketing associate login cialis iskustva american express cialis bactrim antibiotic dosage ranigast skutki uboczne grzybka dilantin toxicity level aleve side effects advil side effects safe viagra no prescription valcyclovir protonix generic costproventil pastillas para ereccion masculina how to get free nexium prilosec 40 india no prescription lopressor no rx sotalex tablettalk online pharmacies that take paypal lidoderm lidocaine patch 5 side effects moduretic drug abuse best place to buy cialis online forum qsymia online pharmacy doxycycline for dogs cost aspirin dosage for dogs by weight zovirax ointment price tryptizol dosage of benadryl isoniazid pronunciation of english words cilasis for daily use in canada fucidin 2 ointment levoxyl medication synthroid permethrin 5 cream side effects sildenafil blueberry 100 cardinal stritch university rochester mn xalatan eye drops generic dianabol reviews lialda side effects medication diovan hct side effects ratings cialis en ligne canada brand viagra online canadian pharmacy meprate tablets cost of advair diskus without insurance aldactone side effects for acne proscar side effects in men tadacip 20 india buy lasix online canada dicyclomine 10 mg capsule myl 20 mg chewable tadafil from india carafate liquid suspension increasing testosterone levels in men buy obagi tretinoin online low cost malaria tablets venlafaxine hcl er side effects pile suhag raat coumadin clinic locations maryland get hard pills online green line phmcy viagra per donne in gocce rapid tabs cialis clonidine next day no prescription can i buy beta blockers in europe echeck online discount pharmacy paroxetine in chicago discounts on levitra codeine syrup buy furosemide and alcphol nabumetone discontinued naprosyn 500 mg tablets cialis from singapore clozapine monitoring guidelines for atypical antipsychotics canesoral duo pediatric digoxin toxicity level fanegada definition of ethics puchase evista betnesol drops for nose metallica songs youtube where can i buy accutane online cephalexin side effects in dogs cataflam dosis pediatrica xenical reviews meal brand cialis with echeck viagra store usa flomax without rx ibuprofen and alcohol and liver damage natija dyal 9wilbat aliviosin dyal gholdoian accutane before and after pictures cheap levitra no prescription amoxicillin with no prescription acnelyse cream information security digoxin level uroxatral side effects drug center canada prescriptions online prices order abilify overnight dostinex dosage bodybuilding singulair side effects in toddlers cozaar side effects in women donde comprar xenical sin receta tadarise 60 insulin side effects itching didi ki suhagraat septra bactrim medication where can find cabergoline 0 25 arava side effects medications orderviagra levitra diclofenaco sodico 100mg propecia reviews 2013 research chemicals usa prod 166 code red pills cleocin topical solution advantage one federal credit union irbesartan 300 mg side effects medrol dosepak directions medication herb viagra green box review prozac and weight loss reviews tetrocycline vs doxycycline order colospa retard side effects percocet 10/325 compared to norco 10/325 buy viagra in south korea estrace cream coupons from warner chilcott synthroid side effects weight gain uroxatral side effects bph drugs glyprin aspirin dosage xerograx pastillas mccoy silagra 50 side effects pravastatin and grapefruit adverse effects ampicillin 500mg capsules side effects effexor xr 75mg buy meds from india clavamox 62.5mg ketazol venezuela triderm ointment schering plough combivent respimat price pramipexole 0.125 mg tablets albuterol sulfate syrup drug rocket launcher ed drugs india percocet dosage dose vardenafil hcl side effects rabeprazole 20mg side effects cost of bactrim without insurance singulair side effects in adults propecia purchase online canada fanegada wikifeet cheap viagra without subscription cozaar 50 mg how to buy viagra on line cheap septrin forte treatment what is cheapest place to buy cialis increasing lung capacity zyprexa lawsuits ovral g pfizer viagra 100mg price buying cialis online safe diflucan fluconazole keppra patient assistance program application levaquin side effects levaquin antibiotic buy kamagra gel in uk clomiphene citrate 50mg drug very fast delivery on viagra to uk atomoxetine is sold under the brand name fentanyl transdermal system 100 mcg h noroxine 400 buspirone reviews weight gain generic viagra accepts echeck cvs pharmacy viagra sper active cialis 5 mg daily success online pharmacy shipping to xanada doxazosin drug interactions no rx required meds dynamogen drug emporium cenveo stock price ebay cheap cialis indocin 50mg pills liposafe ingredients in tylenol rocket raccoon plush cipro 500mg best prices diflucan pill pharmacy chloroquine dosage for children liquid levitra rezeptfrei liquid budesonide for cats diroton 5mg diazepam lexapro sedation how long how to get azithromycin buy viagra with pay pal most trusted pharmacy online levitra generico prezzo viamedic viagra kemadrin procyclidine purchase power marcumar alternative apparel pharmacy technician training online accutane reviews 2014 aricept grom mexico rest el bohio ciales ciales cytoxan side effects canine protonix medication when to take ketazol cream aspen institute miglior sito per comprare viagra mesterolone 25mg tablets biorezonanta magnetica florica munteanu amphetamine salt combo 5 mg dutasteride vs finasteride bph buy warfarin online no prescription comprar cialis en canada rhine inc in india viagra 50mg sale buying cialis professional in canada acquistare propecia rhinathiol expectorant cough syrups duetact generic cialis olmesartan medoxomil europe order free samples viagra usa albendazole side effects generic viagra from india tamoxifen and drug interactions marcumar drug interaction indian pharmacy adderall buy cirpro pills olanzapine side effects weight gain macrodantin 100mg dosage adipex 37.5 mg information prometrium 200 mg and ivf prometrium progesterone side effects buy fluoxetine no prescription euroclinix uk national lottery metformin weight loss success stories trental 400 mg buy tamoxifen citrate no prescription tetracycline back order stanozolol steroids and diabetes bactrim and alcohol singulair medicine children buy brand levitra in usa decadron shot while pregnant bactroban cream 2 mupirocin used for voltaren gel 1 prices januvia mexico xlpharmacy coupon viagra equivalent in india cipla silagra reviews is augmentin for strep throat clavaseptin for dogs and kennel cough misoprostol en maldonado elomet lotion kaufen display pictures of accutane packing lamisil pills for sale amazon anxiety definition webster cataflam tablets used for viagra dosage for young men perlutex veterinary clinic plavix patent colcrys 0 6 mg buy clarisonic brush heads canada cialis online 5mg avapro 300 mg cost oral jelly prevacid lansoprazole ingredients fluconazole 100mg octreotide scan carcinoid tumors tabletten oynanan oyunlar indir doxcycline no prescription buy promethazine without perscription oxybutynin chloride 5mg side effects cipro side effects ciprofloxacin azithromycin online overnight shipping cockapoo information on breed verapamil side effects cialis soft tabs vs cialis cuckold creek maryland mva claritin d ingredients albuterol sulfate inhalation solution 0.5 sotalol 80 mg twice a day xlpharmacy complaints about doctors losartan potassium hydrochlorothiazide generic name levitra pill erie little blue pill healthpoint review alli diet canada augmentin and reflux side effects oxycodone l368 parietal lobe function purchase topamax without a prescription order ventolin without prescription comment prendre ovitrelle nuvigil reviews depression purple pharmacy how long do zoloft side effects last adalat medication viocore orlistat reviews what insurance covers viagra baytril antibiotic for cattle buy danasol online uk clobex shampoo reviews omeprazole medication guide lovegra tablets reviews generics for usa manufactu periactin 4mg side effects amlodipine side effects amlodipine besylate side effects where to buy prednisone for dogs tramadol 50 mg side effects on dogs how much does viagra cost on the nhs viagra how much does it cost cialis online south africa medrol steroid pack for back pain vasotec iv side effects tretinoin cream 0.025 cost buy promethazine syrup online hoodia cactus extract berodual prezzo armour thyroid dosage chart real propecia from canadian pharmacy meclizine 25 mg tablet viagra no presc sildenafil with statins how much is nexium at walmart free ed medicine samples periactin medication information imovane 7.5mg zopiclone amoxicillin and clavulanate potassium side effects grifulvin v micr 500 tablets cialis after prostate surgery walgreens photo coupon code discounts imigran tablets online legit clomid online where to buy viagra in toronto colchicine treatment patients septra antibiotic for sinus infection order albendazole online ropinirole 0.5mg cost percription drugs sales nuvigil medication information lantus insulin dosage chart how much is periactin appetite stimulant benicar side effects high blood pressure is nasonex nasal spray over the counter prednisone india anxiety attacks symptoms in women rx express online mobic side effects meloxicam original levitra 20mg best rated generic viagra site buy alli refill tadalafil generic cialis 20 india haldol decanoate prescribing information melovax 15mg roxymentat bupropion hcl xl 300 mg t prefest no prescription dynamogen solution orale vato how to get cheap viagra omifin 50mg prednisone 20 mg dosage instructions kemadrin discontinued waverly fabrics online ed tratments percocet vs vicodin oxycodone buy predisone prazosin medication and ptsd methocarbamol robaxin 500 mg canadian best places to buy generic viagra arcoxia side effects doctors clopidogrel bisulfate 75mg tabs vardenafil hcl 20 mg drug side effects 36 hour cialis side effects viagra soft tabs 100mg antagolin weight loss reviews femara infertility ovulation letrozolefempro viamax gold prices ciplafield eas req statusi vardenafil 20 mg dosage lasix india without rx claritin d coupons allergy citrate toxicity plasmapheresis rogaine reviews for women shelf life of prednisone generic viagras from india zyvoxid posologie ibuprofene buy prednisone online reglan medication for cats pacific care at vanuatu levamisole hydrochloride fish mexico pharmacy online lisinopril livial tibolone treatment for eczema cialis mit ec karte kaufen cephalexin 500 mg capsule side effects vytorin generic simvastatin diovan hct no prescription required ibuprofen side effects in women order cialis online suppliersof cialis can you use keflex for sinus infection insulin syringes for cats buy tadapox what is protonix 40 mg treatment for medicine without prescription in canada orderpharma reviews canada rx discounters 100mg viagra for male and female
Home All Articles Rating the '07 HOF Candidates Based on Win Shares

Like Shoot to Thrill - An AC/DC Tribute on Facebook!

An authentic tribute of AC/DC that covers the best of the Bon Scott era and the best of Brian Johnson's material

Who's Online?

We have 711 guests online

Atom RSS

Rating the '07 HOF Candidates Based on Win Shares PDF Print E-mail
User Rating: / 2
PoorBest 
Articles & Opinion
Written by Bill Gilbert   
Monday, 04 December 2006 17:35
ArticleOne of the first items of business in baseball each year is the announcement of players elected to the Hall of Fame. This leads to lots of speculation and a little analysis prior to the announcement which is scheduled for January 9, 2007.  

Many systems exist for evaluating player performance. One such system, the Win Shares method, developed by Bill James in 2002, is a complex method for evaluating players which includes all aspects of performance—offense, defense and pitching. James has stated that, “Historically, 400 Win Shares means absolute enshrinement in the Hall of Fame and 300 Win Shares makes a player more likely than not to be a Hall of Famer. However, future standards may be different. Players with 300-350 Win Shares in the past have generally gone into the Hall of Fame. In the future, they more often will not."

The 2007 class of Hall of Fame candidates is the strongest in several years. It consists of 15 holdovers and 16 players eligible for the first time. Four holdovers have over 300 Win Shares, Andre Dawson with 340, Bert Blyleven, 339; Dave Parker, 327; and Alan Trammell with 318. Four newcomers on the list have over 300 Win Shares; Cal Ripken, Jr., 427; Tony Gwynn, 398; Mark McGwire, 342; and Harold Baines, 307. One of the newcomers last year, Will Clark, had 331 Win Shares but failed to receive the 5% of votes required to remain on the ballot.  The only 2006 newcomers with enough votes to remain on the ballot were Orel Hershiser (11.2%) and Albert Belle (7.7%).

With the weak incoming class last year, all but one of the 15 holdovers gained votes. The only one that didn’t was Willie McGee who lost 14 votes and dropped below 5%, eliminating him from further consideration by the Baseball Writers. The big gainers were Bert Blyleven (66 votes), Bruce Sutter (56 votes) and Goose Gossage (51 votes).  Sutter’s total of 400 votes (76.9%) was enough for election to the Hall. Jim Rice (64.8%, Gossage (64.6%), Andre Dawson (61.0%) and Blyleven (53.3%) are now within striking range of the 75% required for election but with the incoming  class being so strong, they  will probably not gain enough votes to make it this year.  They will have a much better chance next year with a very weak class becoming eligible.

In the 2007 class, Ripken and Gwynn are certain to be elected on the first ballot. McGwire has the numbers to be elected but is tainted with the steroid cloud and many writers have indicated they will not vote for him. He may make it eventually but not this year. The only other newcomer that is likely to receive significant support is Baines but he is not a serious candidate for election since he was not a dominant player and was primarily a designated hitter for much of his career. Jose Canseco has the numbers that would ordinarily make him at least a marginal candidate but his sordid past may prevent him from getting enough votes (5%) to stay on the ballot.

Following is a list of Win Shares for the 32 players on the ballot. Players on the ballot for the first time are shown in bold.  2005 and 2006 voting is shown for the holdovers.

                    Win     2005      2005       2006     2006
Player            Shares    Votes     Percent    Votes    Percent
-------           --------  -------   --------   -------  -------
Cal Ripken, Jr.     427    
Tony Gwynn          398
Mark McGwire        342
Andre Dawson        340     273       52.3       317      61.0
Bert Blyleven       339     211       40.9       277      53.3
Dave Parker         327      65       12.6        76      14.4
Alan Trammel        318      87       16.9        92      17.7
Harold Baines       307        
Dale Murphy         294      54       10.5        56      10.8
Tommy John          289     123       23.8       154      29.6
Jim Rice            282     307       59.5       337      64.8
Tony Fernandez      280
Steve Garvey        279     106       20.5       135      26.0
Jose Canseco        272
Dave Concepcion     269      55       10.7        65      12.5
Bobby Bonilla       267
Don Mattingly       263      59       11.4        64      12.3
Paul O’Neill        259
Wally Joiner        253
Albert Belle        243                           40       7.7
Ken Caminiti        242
Jack Morris         225     172       33.3       214      41.2
Eric Davis          224
Goose Gossage       223     285       55.2       336      64.6
Orel Hershiser      210                           58      11.2
Devon White         207
Lee Smith           198     200       38.8       234      45.0
Bret Saberhagen     193
Jay Buhner          174
Dante Bichette      168
Scott Brosius       111
Bobby Witt          102

The last 10 players elected by the Baseball Writers have averaged 342 Win Shares, a figure exceeded by only Ripken and Gwynn on the ballot this year.

Player                 Year        Win Shares
---------------        -----      -------------   
Dave Winfield          2001           415
Kirby Puckett          2001           281
Ozzie Smith            2002           325
Gary Carter            2003           337
Eddie Murray           2003           437
Paul Molitor           2004           414
Dennis Eckersley       2004           301
Wade Boggs             2005           394
Ryne Sandberg          2005           346
Bruce Sutter           2006           168
                                     ------
Average                               342

Conclusions: 

1. Cal Ripken, Jr. and Tony Gwynn will easily be elected by the Baseball Writers this year.  Some have speculated that Ripken might set the record for the highest percentage of votes, now held by Tom Seaver with 98.84%. His .340 career on-base percentage could be an obstacle to voters that place special emphasis on first ballot election.

2. Mark McGwire will not come close but will remain on the ballot and could get elected in the future.  If he is not elected, he will be the only eligible player with over 500 home runs not in the Hall.

3. None of the holdovers will receive enough votes for election.

4. Blyleven and Gossage will continue to move up but will fall short.  They could be positioned for election next year when Tim Raines is the only strong new candidate.

5. Rice will continue to fall short because of his relatively short career.

6. Some other newcomers (Baines, Bonilla, O’Neill) could get enough votes to remain on the ballot.  However, a stronger candidate last year, Will Clark, did not get enough votes to remain on the ballot.

7. There will not be a groundswell of support for Scott Brosius and Bobby Witt.

If I had a ballot, I would cast votes for Ripken, Gwynn, Blyleven, Trammell and Gossage.  If I were on the Veterans Committee, I would vote for Gil Hodges, Ron Santo and Minnie Minoso and I would try to figure out some way to get Buck O’Neil in.  

 
 
Banner

Poll

Should MLB Force Jeffery Loria to Sell the Marlins?