trileptal dosage oxcarbazepine diflucan yeast infection how long magnesium oxide uses online drugstore free shipping cialis cheap overnight buy soviclor tabletas 400 mg generic daily cialis indian pharmacies that sell pain meds cialis super p force pharmacies discount pharmacy pills obetrol adhd treatment decadron steroid how long does it last no prescription methylprednisone canadian pharmacy 24h review plan b eddy lover voltaren gel for arthritis wikipedia novolax laxative oracea side effects doxycycline hyclate nexium otc side effects sifrol pramipexole tremor zyban side effects estrace side effects estradiol flovent diskus 250 prevacid side effects in children cheap viagra for sale fast shipping metrotab 400 pound side effects of tizanidine 4mg information crestor price at target minoxidil topical solution for men research chemicals allegra coupons printable venlafaxine er 75mg prices viagra in the united states ephedraxin review compare mesalamine drugs cipla mumbai india alendronate fosamax medication side propecia generic prescription septrin tablets and pregnancy flagyl treat a gum infection glipizide medication information tamoxifen alternatives vitamins and supplements where can i buy methotrexate clavamox from canada viagara without a prescription cialis in hyderabad find canadian pharmacy online viagra order a prepaid visa how much does viagra cost uk no prescription generic viagra online rx relief card consumer reports lamisil oral medication flagyl 500mg no prescription medicine from mexico lasix furosemide potassium levels body vytorin 10 40 coupons vrdrug complaints against lawyers viagra for sale in packets mavidol tr ketorolaco tramadol 10 mg 25 mgm clindamicina pretzels misoprostol dosage for abortion real viagra pills buy lexapro online no prescription benemid probalan valium 5mg side effects thalidomide mechanism of action myeloma onadron simple interest medameds rapidshare free abilify patient assistance program form milanuncios barcelona restaurant inexpensive lisinopril rizatriptan 10 mg tablet tamsulosin 0 4mg pilex tablete top erectile pill reviews omeprazole 40 mg capsule otc microcidal definition of leadership cataflam zithromax mail order antibiotics carprofen for dogs chewable 100mg eutirox 50 mg low cost viagra from canada dapoxetine dosage instructions sildenafil italy quich delivery valium dosage children comparison generic cialis prices leponex tablete ieftine lidocaine patch 5 side effects fluconazole for dogs 100 mg cuckold creek maryland judiciary pfizer viagra online pharmacy kamagra fast co lasuna jewelry armoire best value lexapro online caffeine withdrawal symptoms duration viagra online kaufen europa sifrol 0 18 mg methylphenidate flovent side effects in toddlers strongest viagra irbesartan 150 mg cost mycelex troche pastillas clotrimazole lozenges for thrush como conseguir citotec en usa bactim to buy online albendazole treatment dose viasek 50 mg zoloft pharmacy stockton hardon definition of marriage viamedic coupon code viagra online benadryl dosage for children buy alesse without prescription allegra d in the uk cialis brand name pills to buy mhairwara battalion ciacil tablets aciclovir 50 mg crema prospect celebrex medication replacement where do you buy viagra online buy viagrawith echeck or ach valtrex 500 mg caplet what otc med is comparable reglan generic cialis sales on amazon prime cheap flovent cordarone classification doxycycline for dog no rx necessary gabapentin with tadalafil buy la pela pills lortab hydrocodone dosage clindamycin phosphate gel usp 1 reviews cialis moins chers proviron 25mg tablets donepezil hcl tabs side effects zithromax dosage for children tegretol and pregnancy microcidal meaning of colors on line pharmacy france boots ireland online how to buy omifin mnon prescription prednisone levitra 20 mg price oracea coupon card lantus solostar price flovent hfa 44mcg danazol treatment for gynecomastia 2 day delivery viagra online imuran shortage brand viagra pfizer sale sifrol pramipexole treatment for depression buy viagra 100mg valium 5mg drug lumigan generic name cialis 40 mg online provigil 200 mg price is lumigan 0.03 discontinued metformin weight loss results nexium esomeprazole 20mg in uk aspirin and pregnancy and flying dosage of letrozole for fertility isoniazid manufacturer in india tretinoin cream uk boots pentrexyl ampicilina 500mg propecia sell tamsulosin side effects teeth order unisom for ireland estrofem effects in menestrotab regenon retard albenza couponsuzy zithromax antibiotic price glipizide 10mg picture kamagra uk next day delivery betnovate cream/ betamethasone valerate cvs near me domperidone for sale buy accutane with mastercard prednisone to order in usa cialis and atrial fibrillation viagra for sale in south africa bupropion weight loss men can etodolac get you high furosemide 40 mg medication dottori commercialisti bisoprolol fumarate beta blockers viagra pa cher cialis tadalafil no presciption needed rhinathiol syrup information atorvastatin calcium claritin d side effects depression vitamin shoppe coupons mebendazole 100mg vermox ventolin 100 mg tizanidine hcl 4mg tablets what to take after steroid cycle diclofenac 150 buy frumil fortean dove acquistare sildenafil zyvoxid posologie doliprane malegra 100 pics cefovex 500fastcashceftin arimidex vs tamoxifen for pct cialis online pharmacy review cephalexin 500mg capsule antibiotic buy online generic aricept no prescription chlamydia in mouth long term viagra side effects biaxin clarithromycin 500mg reminyl classification of living donde comprar viagra xanax 1 mg street value super silagra original viagra apotheke letrozole infertility femara order seroquel xr cost of viagra 100mg colchicine tablets availability robaxin for sale no rabeprazole sodium 20mg buy qsymia in canada ambien addiction ambien withdrawal symptoms carprofen for dogs side effects diamox side effects acetazolamide for altitude marcumar drugstore prednisolone prescription free nizoral krem buy sildenafil citrate vigra 150 tramadol hcl 50mg treatment in dogs losartan side effects medication quinine leg cramps pains singulair side effects in children behavior viagra costo kamagra 100 mg tablets in european sunsuria berhad meaning fluoxetine 20 mg no prescription himcolin cream puffs maxalt generics uas pharmacy online rumafen diclofenac sodium 50mg picture online canadian pharmacies tantalum restaurant long beach ca menu digoxin without prescription first time whats cialis use seroflo 250 inhaler price diamox medication after cataract surgery luvox generic brand buy cardizem fluoxetine prozac side effects long term where in las vegas can i buy viagra buy 600mm motrin online vigrande kaufen periactin no prescription require suprax medication fact sheet lexapro side effects in men amiloride side effects medication content marketing strategy septra suspension presentation robaxin without a script revatio generic india abortion pills colospan tablet for kids clomid at 39 when already ovulating buy clobex clobetasol propionate priligy dapoxetine reviews iv drugs without prescription nizagara tablets india generic viagra for sale in the usa aricept 5mg side effects lisinopril medication buy tretinoin online sureway livery service in chicago order doxycycline without prescription tadalafil c100 for sale duphalac lactulose solution for constipation abilify bipolar aripiprazole pfizer jobs collegeville pa viagras para hombres cialis generic non prescription bayer brand levitra ragipi tu qi orlistat lesofat desogen generic birth control cheapest place to buy synthroid viagra en poudre pour femme cialis daily no rx degra kaufen artane side effects trihexyphenidyl side diamox dosage cialis daily vs 36 hour strattera coupon medrol canadian no prescription revatio side effects donepezil aricept achat sildenafil how to get propecia prescribed dicyclomine 10mg information haloperidol side effects elderly xanax alprazolam dosage cialis daily use cheap valacyclovir uk rimadyl 100mg chewable coupons order olmestartan flovent hfa 110 mcg inhaler side effects 5mg tadalafil generic mebendazole treatment for humans seroquel xr side effects alcohol vibramycin medication side effects where to buy substitute s for levitra medyka kamery pharmacy the best nitroglycerin buy tretinoin cream amazon buying hydrocodone while in canada levitra 20 mg seroxat withdrawal ivermectin canada pharmacy promethazine codeine dosage by weight metformin generic name ventolin syrup side effects buspar side effects go away nizoral shampoo hair loss studies zantac vs prilosec otc phenergan syrup for dogs viagra for w aspirin ingredients bayer avodart 0.5 mg results cost of viagra in aruba antibiotics for strep throat for kids buy baby diapers wih echeck buy claravis online minoxidil foam or liquid better actavis cough syrup canada clavamox for cats amerimedrx discount tire cafergot in target pharmacy hydrochlorothiazide 25 mg for sale accutane instructions insulin pumps for diabetics extenze side effects enhance manhood instantly cytoxan infusion time pharmacy onesource alli diet pills cheapest garlic shrimp recipe where to buy viagra in south africa detrol la 4 mg capsule side effects buy generic levothyroxine xenical fat blocker buy cialis one day receipt buy tinidazole from india online cyclidox capsules for essential oils epogen injection dose amoxil dosage for cats clomiphene for sale in us buy periactin with mastercard lasix online no prescription imovane 7 5mg zopiclone tablets periactin without rx treatment of chlamedia in cats xenical 120 roche without prescription macrodantin antibiotics synthroid without scrpt hyzaar without prescription lesofat review arcoxia tablets side effects vigrande 50 mg sertralina efectos adversos acido kemadrin tablets for toddlers tabletten gegen hautpilz medikamente antibiotics and birth control how long after casodex prostate cancer best drugstore makeup remover hydrodiuril contraindications for ultrasound clomid for women primamedics scam report secnidazole for giardia usa viagra 4000 mg morphine pills identification ceftin antibiotic for strep throat signs of zanaflex overdosezanaxzantac phentermine side effects long term ok pills best rogaine for women rogaine side effects monidem gel nizoral cream furacin ointment for horses viagra make me last longer aldactone 100 mg albenza pinworm low cost daily cialis differin gel 0.3 side effects viagra preis zoloft require prescription in canada tinidazole no prescription pomada de terramicina para los ojos prozac for anxiety and depression cialis generico tadafial soft online pharmacy cialis sale of viagra in malaysia epanutin drug interaction elavil dosage for neuropathy ventolin expectorant salbutamol guaifenesin antibiotics for strep throat if allergic to penicillin no prescription cialis buy propranolol uk buy viagra taiwan 49 minocin acne treatment information side effect of zentel worm medicine extenze reviews walmart ramipril 5mg side effects acyclovir side effects hair loss celecoxib drug side effects where yo buy zovirac cardura medication information medameds viagra commercial actress rhinathiol prospect medical group rx customer service pharmacy analgin tablets where to buy viagra in india ebay cheap kamagra uk antibiotics for tooth infections sibutramine hydrochloride monohydrate ramipril 10mg prices on line pharmacys metoprolol succ er prednisolone generic name amoxicillin for sale overnight buy diclofenac without prescription uk therapy dog training ohio online pharmacies in thiland exelon patch renagel medication dosage advair hfa inhaler package insert cafergot tablets to buy in australia comprar cialis en miami domperidone breastfeeding dosage selling cytotec xatral od10xeloda lesofat vs xenical 120 short hairstyles ashley judd vardenafil hcl 20mg dosage provigil online with credit card buy dilantin no script levitra without rx in the united states como saber si funciona cytotec buying clomid online uk sublingual nitroglycerin spray disgrasil orlistat 120mg xenical what is duloxetine hcl dr 30 mg cap onlines std pills sotalol side effects on kidneys content definition happy ampicillin 500mg purchase mexico gpchealth comcast speed clomid by mail motilium tablets online arimidex vs nolvadex thyroxine binding globulin flurazepam hcl caps tesco chemist online renagel 800mg tabletsrenapril orlistat generic paypal can cialis be purchased in ecuador risperdal lawsuit attorneys pilocarpine eye drops action amlodipine besylate 5mg price content definition translations viagra sale in japan utah online pharmacies metronidazole 500mg tablets amazon 1942 universal drugstore canada enalapril medication side effects shoppers drug mart viagra fanegada colombia news levitra coupon free trial buy spironolactone online no rx dose of atarax for itching rogaine side effects vast viagra delivery subutex treatment for pain effexor side effects effexor xr bentovate c to buy get hydrocodone today manly 100 sildenafil citrate 100mg levitra 10mg discounts fucidin h crema antabuse side effects disulfiram drug zolpidem tartrate 10 mg tablet ingredients erecto 100 mg minoxidil foam or liquid levitra 10 mg for sale atrovent nebulizer 0.5mg amantadina para que sirve fucidin cream antibiotic uses nexium 40 mg for sale best drugstore foundation oily skin non prescription cialis 5mg jasmine guy a different buy cialis and pay whit paypall ixel milnacipran drug amiloride hctz brand name alli diet pills coupons buy hczt thalidomide enantiomers structurethyroxine
Home Maury Brown With Strasburg, It May Be the Years, More Than Money, That is the Focus

Like Shoot to Thrill - An AC/DC Tribute on Facebook!

An authentic tribute of AC/DC that covers the best of the Bon Scott era and the best of Brian Johnson's material

Who's Online?

We have 874 guests online

Atom RSS

With Strasburg, It May Be the Years, More Than Money, That is the Focus PDF Print E-mail
User Rating: / 12
PoorBest 
Written by Maury Brown   
Sunday, 16 August 2009 09:08
Nats

UPDATE: See The Biz of Baseball poll for this article: Will Stephen Strasburg Be Signed by the Deadline? Vote to the right

NOTE: Follow Maury Brown and The Biz of Baseball on Twitter leading up to the signing deadline on the 17th


Tick, tick, tick… by midnight on Monday, the Washington Nationals will have either gotten San Diego State pitching phenom Stephen Strasburg under contract, or not.

It’s contract talk, and it’s considered one of the best pitching prospects, maybe ever, and it’s Strasburg’s agent, Scott Boras, and, well… it’s really all about the structure of the deal.

I’ve done a couple of columns on the topic now, most notably Valuating Stephen Strasburg which took a possible 6 year, $30 million deal and used the average annual value (AAV) of $5 million to compare him against the last crop of salary arbitration-eligible starting pitchers. As noted in the corresponding table within the article, Strasburg’s AAV would rank him 7th out of 22 before throwing a single pitch at the professional level, let alone the majors.

But, looking closer, there is a missing component that needs tending to with the negotiations of the contract, that if it comes to fruition, will blow past the 5 year, $10.5 million deal given Mark Prior: The years in the deal.

Valuating Stephen Strasburg was based on a lengthy 6-year deal, a deal that if Strasburg remains healthy, and pitches remotely close to his hype, would come off as a shrewd investment by the Nationals. By using a lengthy contract, the Nationals would avoid the extra salary increases that accompany virtually every player that enters salary arbitration. So, let’s say the deal isn’t 6/$30M. Let’s say, the deal is 3 years, $21 million, a dollar figure that is exactly double Prior’s record setting contract, and that Strasburg signs before the deadline. First off, if the deal were consummated with that structure, the contract’s AAV jumps from $5 million to $7 million, check that table again to see where Strasburg would then rank. Mr. NLCS and World Series MVP will most likely not be pleased.

So, the ink is dry on the contract at 3 years, and the Nationals, looking to get some fannies in the seats and create some much needed buzz in a dismal year, call up Strasburg in September. If that were to occur, Strasburg would most assuredly become a Super Two in salary arbitration.

As a reminder, here’s how MLB salary arbitration functions:

  • Players with at least 3 but less than 6 years of Major League service time.
  • The top 17 percent of players with at least 2 but less than 3 years of Major League service. (See Super 2). To qualify as a Super 2, a player must have accumulated at least 86 days of service in the previous year. (A year of service is 172 days. The historical cutoff point for Super 2 status is 2 years, 128 days of service, though the requirement has been as high as 2 years, 140 days.)
  • Players who have filed for free agency and both received and accepted offers of arbitration from their former club.

So, if Strasburg were to stay on the ML roster, he will hit salary arbitration at just over 2 years of major league service time (if called up in September 0.040 - '09, 1.040 - '10, 2.040 - '11 meaning he would be salary arb eligible by end of '12 season). Going back to the table, you’ll see why players love salary arbitration, while management abhores it: it works almost entirely in favor of steep salary increases for the player.

Of the starting pitchers that were first year salary arb eligible last year, the smallest raise was Shawn Hill of the Nationals who saw his salary increase from $402,000 to $775,000, an increase of 93 percent. So, that’s Shawn Hill. What was the average increase in salary from 2008 to 2009 for this crop of first time salary arb players? A whopping 408 percent. The highest increase? Bobby Jenks of the White Sox who saw his salary increase from $550,000 to $5,600,000 a staggering leap of 918 percent.

So, coming back to Strasburg and his agent Scott Boras, less is more. A 3-year deal would allow Strasburg to drag the Nationals through salary arbitration not once, not twice, but three times before hitting free agency, each time dinging the Nationals in the pocketbook.

If the Nationals do sign Strasburg, and if they're smart, they would be looking to avoid dealing with salary arbitration or possibly the first or second year of free agency eligibility. Look at deals such as Evan Longoria’s, Robinson Cano, or Troy Tulowitzki for examples (see Youth is King. Let’s Wrap Up Them Up Through Arbitration). In the case of Longoria’s deal signed in April of 2008, it was a $17.5 million, six-year contract. The deal could be worth up to $44.5 million over nine seasons. Longoria signed the deal after playing just 6 major league games. At  this point in his career, the Rays pulled off an incredible deal by wrapping up Longoria through salary arbitration and early free agency, based upon his play. Think of what Longoria would be getting in salary if he had hit salary arbitration.

So, back to the Strasburg deal, it may not be the total amount that is a key sticking point (don’t kid yourself, it still matters greatly to both sides), but for Boras and Strasburg, it may be the total years of the contract that matter most; that 3-year mark allowing Strasburg to enter into salary arbitration at his earliest convenience.

For the Nationals, they’re looking at the trend of wrapping up young talent and avoiding the sharp salary increases associated with salary arbitration. Look for them to get out of as many of those years as possible.

Get some sleep on Sunday night. You’ll need it as the deal, if it gets done (we’re saying it will), will most likely not happen until right up to that Monday-at-midnight deadline.


Maury BrownMaury Brown is the Founder and President of the Business of Sports Network, which includes The Biz of Baseball, The Biz of Football, The Biz of Basketball and The Biz of Hockey. He is contributor to Baseball Prospectus, and is available as a freelance writer. Brown's full bio is here. He looks forward to your comments via email and can be contacted through the Business of Sports Network (select his name in the dropdown provided).

Don't forget to register and log in on The Biz of Baseball site to get updates via your in-box, and see information only logged in members can see.

Follow Maury Brown on Twitter Twitter

Follow The Biz of Baseball on Twitter Twitter

 
 
Banner

Poll

Should MLB Force Jeffery Loria to Sell the Marlins?