baclofen on line purchase furosemide dosage for adults alphagan generic ordering albendazole canada lov cost nitrofurantoin doryx generic launch online pharmacy mexico review generic name for keppra buy ethionamide generic safe buy parlodel online purchase non perscription birth control pills online can tegretol get you high accutane name in mexico safe motilium buy no prescription differin walmart pharmacy hours in canada viagara falls band nj where to spend honor points alliance mop flomax price costco sertraline hydrochloride 50 mg levitra 20mg en ligne tadapox tablets for sale cialis overnight prilosec over counter medication non persciption zestril content management system tutorial buy celebrex online cheap can you buy motrin over the counter in germany cialis sublingual brands india cephalexin drugs india buy adalat 6 online pharmacy trazodone hydrochloride 50 mg abuse levaquin cost cvs long term side effects of amlodipine cvs employee discount on prescriptions online levaquin india zovirax prices cvs what does minocycline do to the body long term side effects of diclofenac can you get pregnant while on tamoxifen best price calcium carbonate diovan 80 wiki mebendazole buy canada safe crestor buy what are the side effects of zyprexa aleve without script bentyl lawsuit hyzaar suppositories buy get cymbalta toronto levitra super active ships from india generic pills for alphagan which one is best viagra cialis or levitra clomid for men sperm count skelaxin without insurance prednisolone 5mg without prescription buy l-tryptophan tablets online silagra online legally can you drink beer and take viagra singulair tablets 150 mg pure viagra purchase abilify 15 mg unisom sleeping pills over the counter mxtabs bass tabs januvia generic cost buy generic acyclovir best price for real brand levitra how long does it take for lisinopril to get out of your system viva pure hyaluronic acid reviews olanzapine drug classification insurance quotes online seroflo women buy how to use finasteride 5mg buy cheap meclizine order xenical canada order augmentin next day delivery how to take brand advair diskus retail price atacand erectile dysfunction drugs with the least side effects what is methocarbamol 750 can you buy propecia uk viagra alternatives in india finasteride generic visa suprax 400 alcohol atorlip-10 to buy from europe low cost pharmacy indianapolis madison med cab actonel indian pharmacy effexor xr best pharmacy to order ephedraxin missed lamisil dose mail order generic digoxin yasmin side effects uk buy kytril inhaler canada pharmaceutical companies india septilin reviews for men can buy prevacid online buy periostat 20 mg online is it illegal to order generic tegretol best buys rx best site to buy betnovate cabgolin order online aspirin enteric coated tablets side effects ciprofloxacina colirio bula midamor tablet sale order allegra-d 24 hour levothroid pharmacy online doxycycline dose for dogs with kennel cough zyvox dosage recommended what is zocor 20 mg used for buy tegretol tablets online pliva 433 get you high order generic micronase alli tablets lloyds order medrol online no prescription cheap diclofenac 50mg implicane what is tricor medication used for atacand order canada terramycin medication western drug confido can buy pariet online cheap brafix buy online artane medication vpxl dosage too high wholesale kamagra oral jelly sildenafil where can i buy kamagra chewable price increase ceftin walmart pharmacy discount medications premarin on line triamterene pills drugstore lov cost vpxl doxycycline and alcohol effectiveness can you get pregnant on coumadin buying wellbutrin xl buy advair diskus tablets usa free or low cost diamox can you buy liv 52 over the counter in germany Purchase glucophage 500 mg clomiphene citrate low testosterone plendil rx wellbutrin dosage for adhd insulin resistance treatment viagra vente libre montreal discount canadian pharmacy zyban glucophage tablets online zithromax antibiotico dosis wellbutrin for men sale in uk walmart pharmacy hours harrisonburg va 50mg trazodone street price how to take chloroquine for malaria where to buy cialis online forum diclofenac order in the us topamax generic name non persciption propranolol tricor tablets side effects ambien uk cheap canada medications pharmacy where to buy nizoral shampoo in australia costco pharmacy roxithromycin price zyvox dose betnovate c discontinued pariet uses medication where to buy nizagra online cheap zoloft buy online combivent pharmacy reviews on dapoxetine paxil uk should i increase my dose of wellbutrin can you only get sinemet on prescription viagra for discount fluoxetine for dogs buy marine d3 walmart comprar brahmi online order clomid in canada canadian online pharmacy for tadalis sx cheap abilify tablets can you get pregnant while taking isoniazid can i make desyrel buy kamagra soft cheap can you buy unique hoodia in stores buy ampicillin bacterial infections crestor online without rx alli drug in germany pharmacy buy buspar online no prescription us how to use provera and clomid together prescription nausea medicine during pregnancy citalopram 40 mg tiredness tinidazole where to buy in canada soma online no prescription overnight delivery furosemide pas cher what is proscar finasteride generic avapro drug cheap antivert 12.5 mg iv protonix cost promethazine codeine do i need a prescription for voltaren gel where to ashwagandha the organic pharmacy pharmacy mexico betnovate top 10 online parlodel sites evista medication uses dostinex coupon code pharmacy that sells flonase doxazosin comprare coming off cipralex 20mg buy strattera pills generic fluoxetine overnite shipping minocin legal us online no prescription uk generic viagra order micardis cheap low antivert genuine viagra cheapest common side effects of baclofen glipizide for sale serophene 100 mg elocon cream 0.1 over the counter synthroid weight gain kamagra soft over the couter erythromycin order in the us average cost of aciphex can amitriptyline hcl 25 mg get you high what is ranitidine 150 mg for buy cheap bactrim no prescription xeloda online in usa citalopram medication and alcohol compare prices doxycycline how long is it safe to take diclofenac sodium generic viagra with mastercard order erection packs 1 cialis buy now buy online menosan generic viagra sublingual australia price cymbalta 40 mg dose what does torsemide do liposafe india acai berry purchase online ordering coumadin here in canada nizoral order on web benadryl allergy and sinus medicine actos medication online buy kamagra uk paypal can you get levitra super active atorlip-20 discount safe place order tricor lyme disease doxycycline alternative viagra sale best price for real zyprexa prescription drugs without a script in canada discount canadian pharmacy femara why has female viagra been discontinued digoxin drug oversea purchase dilantin cardura canada head office rosuvastatin generic available chloromycetin overnight pharmacy acheter prandin mail order baby alligators low dose naltrexone crohn;s domperidone dosage for nausea cardizem no prescription compare prices exelon price india yasmin drug in fr pharmacy how to take topamax for weight loss codeine promethazine syrup uk where can u buy viagra from where to buy malegra fxt cheap pharm discount code buy rumalaya liniment without rx buy keppra hong kong cialis sublingual 40mg 500mg zithromax chlamydia baclofen rezeptfrei online bestellen long term side effects of fincar zestoretic usa mail order generic roxithromycin acaitrim brazilian diet aid maximum acai reviews buy online atorlip-5 generic onde comprar xeloda 500mg cialis super active precio mexico ordering asacol from canada cipro xr 1000 bayer para que sirve clonidine 0.1 mg hytrin medication baby fertility drug clomiphene clomid serophene milophene buy generic trandate online benadryl online pharmacy uk meclizine lawsuit canada suhagra overnight delivery canadian pharmacy femara where to buy erection packs 3 what is sustiva for sominex online pay paypal nizoral tablets reviews Purchase femara 2.5 mg benfotiamine prices aarp medicarerx plans prior authorization form buy isoniazid mg online aleve price rite aid lotrisone drug store online bupropion xl 150 mg generic tricor cholesterol medicine children benadryl generic why is there a shortage of cialis jelly moduretic bula anvisa ic doxycycline mono 100mg paroxetine tablets buy top 10 online canadian pharmacies how to get abana in australia avalide overnight effects levitra vs cialis vs viagra generic zyban smoking cessation cheap lithium batteries 3v no prescription vasodilan sale buy hyzaar online canada online canadian drugshop com canadian drugs online viagra flomax how to buy propranolol generic inderal buy imuran boots pharmacy wellbutrin sr where can i buy acquisto lamictal sicuro online nymphomax 5mg tablets grifulvin v shop net buy uk kamagra oral jelly can you only get forzest on prescription glimepiride side effects long term buy proventil without a subscription arimidex max dose why is levitra so expensive can we trust acai online rumalaya gel pills accutane australia price quiero comprar tenormin how to use nizagara tablets taking propranolol tablets for anxiety unisom generico online side effects of using asthma inhalers too much will valtrex cause weight gain best site to buy calan buspar brand order quiero comprar doxycycline better than noroxin phone in order for amitriptyline pravachol pravastatin 20 mg purchase generic zyban micardis 80 mg price eurax tablets for purchase content insurance uk symptoms of withdrawal from trazodone insomnia nimotop from canada no prescription endep sale Purchase abilify 5 mg aripiprazole alternatives to viagra in india what is tricor medicine discount clonidine mg compare prices benemid why doxycycline price increase 10 off drugstore.com code how to buy allied laptop ultra low dose rumalaya forte buy shatavari australia buy brahmi tea elavil and cold medicine cialis 200mg wholesale how to order zovirax online side effects of lamictal overdose tretinoin 0,025 paypal hoodia over counter cipla pharmaceuticals products is flagyl over the counter drug cipla viagra legit accutane rx requirements what are the side effects of naprosyn cheap decadron online warfarin alternatives 2010 generic sarafem pmdd health canada rogaine 5 ordering silagra levitra discount atorlip-5 billig kaufen iv pain meds dilaudid levitra pills free buy atorlip-20 online india prescription cipro overnight delivery where to get bupron sr pct buy ampicillin online from australia taking 2 viagra pills penicillin online no prescription clomid vs clomiphene citrate glucophage no script walgreens pharmacy store locator buy generic acyclovir online where to januvia morning after pill over the counter walmart what is the generic for skelaxin avapro over the counter 300mg pharmacy urispas maximum dosage zyban dosage instructions cicloferon aciclovir spray para que sirve cymbalta without food buy avodart canada cheap artane no prescription bupropion australia paroxetine prescription cheap generic paxil hoodia lowest price can you buy minocin over the counter buy prescriptions online cheaper moduretic roche precio argentina arimidex generic name what does clonidine 1 mg look like generic nolvadex bodybuilding recommended dosage of metformin for pcos canadian pharmacy no rx buy elavil buy claritin singapore what does trazodone 150 mg look like generic benadryl safe amaryl for sale uk how to buy yasmin where can you buy alligator meat in virginia propranolol from usa nootropil by mail international pharmacy from india best place to order risperdal in us cheap amoxil usa pharmacy xenical medicine review genuine avapro best price is zyban funded in new zealand coupon for advair diskus 500 50 birth control pills pariet propranolol online without rx poison ivy medicine canada pharmacy acheter promethazine pas cher compare prices artane roxithromycin brand order meclizine tablets elocom crema para acne buy levitra online with prescription triamterene hctz 37.5 25 mg purchase purchase premarin in canada what classification is procardia coreg australia get hoodia toronto buy cardura 8 mg anafranil no prescription needed canadian online pharmacy terramycin ophthalmic ointment for dogs side effects canada drugs lanoxin with prescription nizagara drugs us pharmacy online eurax finasteride cost canada prescription drug celebrex arthritis celecoxib estrace discount card trental pas cher italie cheap zerit buy online viagra pills boots buy alphagan 15mg online unisom in the uk generic eurax us vicodin online paypal micardis tablets consumer medicine information is it safe to order zyprexa buy venlor uk buy buspar visa order amaryllis belladonna plavix mg no prescription order female viagra from usa without prescription buy tadapox 200 generic abilify in canada omifin clomifeno 50mg cheap flonase online no prescription terramycin orlistat 60 mg fingras ampicillin generic 2013 drugs moduretic delivery london levitra no prescription uk doxycycline 100mg caps ivax chloroquine without prescription miami metformin dosage when to take research grade malegra dxt over counter cefadroxil aspirin 500 mg price there generic crestor canada ethionamide buy online us elavil dose for nerve pain carafate comprare viagra bust montreal atrovent nasal spray australia alli over the counter prescription drug order nizoral online no prescription with a visa biaxin birth control online mexico lasuna legal us safe cialis no precription can you buy casodex in ireland nitrofurantoin to buy uk what does a 100 mg viagra look like differin online without rx champix pfizer wiki trimox for sale anacin drug oversea comprar myambutol portugal discount duetact mg is maxalt generic available western drug colchicine Purchase erythromycin 250mg tablets purchase flagyl 500mg online cheap shallaki uk zyban barato mail order aleve how long for celexa to take full effect ou acheter des livres en anglais a paris citalopram generic release date cheap cialis sublingual 40 mg genuine altace online discount generic uk paypal mevacor where to get arimidex can you get aleve in canada minocycline shortage 2012 comprar clomid online can you order accutane billig orlistat online kaufen buy anacin boots pharmacy acai berry discount where purchase caverta is generic lipitor effective can you buy primatene mist in mexico how to use avandamet januvia from usa pharmacy drug market order flonase 5 mg cialis+effectiveness generic flagyl india anthem blue cross california mail order prescriptions can we trust synthroid online post cycle therapy paroxetine can you crush digoxin tablets avis vigra lufthavn generic viagra 50mg online vente de amitriptyline au quebec celexa 100mg tablet tetracycline acne results soluble aspirin tablets experiment can you buy avodart in ireland how much does depakote cost at walmart ordering avandamet drug metformin brand positioning lioresal to buy in england generic serevent cost unisom tablets 150 mg betamethasone valerate cream 0.1 side effects diovan medicine used aciphex order on web tegretol side effects in women online norvasc purchase generic lotrisone in usa lozol drugstore.com lov cost chloramphenicol arimidex lawsuit canada differin prescription cost mexico to buy prescription drugs noroxin shopping purchase celexa cheap abortion pills cost in india motilium over the couter name viagra men india buy nexium without prescription dapoxetine direct pharmacy cytotec precio venezuela 2011 where to buy celadrin drugs online can i make finast buy ditropan xl what does prevacid contain atacand generico online walmart pharmacy jobs betnovate-n cream drugs from canada no prescription buy tamoxifen pills in the us mevacor with no rx where can i purchase glyset Purchase abilify 1 pharmacy free fax femcare supplier in uk non-prescription medicine for constipation motrin mail order safe place order tadacip buy diflucan 10 buy himcolin online amazon can you buy colchicine over counter low acivir pills popular products alli reviews on ciplox order erection packs 2 prescription cheap atacand prices canada the online drugstore v-gel does ginseng energy now work nice uk donepezil antivert 25mg tablets side effects half price albenza qual o generico de decadron como comprar lamisil do you need a prescription for cialis in uk Purchase abilify 20 mg discount kwikmed co uk lanoxin how to buy what is clomid pct generic femcare
Home Maury Brown Will Ryan Howard Win His Arbitration Case?

Like Shoot to Thrill - An AC/DC Tribute on Facebook!

An authentic tribute of AC/DC that covers the best of the Bon Scott era and the best of Brian Johnson's material

Who's Online?

We have 976 guests online

Atom RSS

Will Ryan Howard Win His Arbitration Case? PDF Print E-mail
User Rating: / 11
PoorBest 
Written by Maury Brown   
Monday, 26 January 2009 16:40

Ryan Howard

Ryan Howard is going after another record
in salary arbitration. But, do his numbers
warrant his asking figure of $18 million?

There’s little denying that Ryan Howard has been a league-leader since being called up from the minors. NL Rookie-of-the Year in 2005, NL MVP and All-Star in 2006, 5th in NL MVP voting in 2007, and 2nd in NL MVP voting last year, he’s racked up a collection of awards.

To back up the awards, Howard has accumulated more home runs and RBIs than any player the past three seasons. Howard has been prodigious with the power-bat, as well, posting 150 career homers in fewer ABs than any player in history.

He’s garnered the largest contract for a first time salary arbitration eligible player in history when a panel of arbitrators selected his figure over the Phillies in a hearing last year, thus being awarded his $10 million asking figure. In the arbitration game, there is no selection by the panel in-between the figures. It's a selection between club and player figures, and nothing else.

The Phillies and Howard have talked a long-term deal, but according to several sources, including Scott Lauber of the Wilmington News Journal, he’s seeking near “A-Rod” money, something in the neighborhood of $200 million. The deal would be difficult on its own, but nearly a non-starter with the way the economy has played out of the last 12 months.

So, this year, as was the case last, Howard is in salary arbitration with all eyes focused on case. After players and clubs exchanged salary figures last Tuesday, Howard and the Phillies, once again, see the largest gap between offering ($14 million by the Phillies) and asking ($18 million by Howard and agent Casey Close). To place the figures in perspective, of the 46 players that exchanged figures with their respective clubs, the offering and asking figures for Howard are more than twice as high as the nearest player cases (for asking, it was Prince Fielder at $8 million, while offering figure is Garrett Atkins at $6.65 million).

So, the question becomes, how will Howard fare, should he go all the way to salary arbitration hearing with the Phillies?

For 45 min. yesterday, Lauber and I discussed Howard’s case (see Lauber’s article Howard appraisal could land anywhere), and with it, several key areas became the focus:

The Mid-Point – The start of any salary arbitration case is the mid-point; the figure between club offer and player asking figures. For Howard, that figure is $16 million. The Phillies and Howard will be focusing in on this mid-point figure making their cases that Howard’s stats are above or below that point. The Phillies have once again enlisted arbitration expert Tal Smith, and Howard will have Casey Close and his team backing their position.

How Albert Pujols Factors In – The player that is most likely to come up in discussion will be Albert Pujols. Both he and Howard play 1B. And, while much has been made about Howard garnering the largest sum for a first time salary arbitration player due to his limited major league service time, he and Pujols are very close in age with Howard being only 2 months older. The difference being that Howard spent several seasons in the minors while Pujols did not. Coming into the 2009 season, Pujols has 8 years of ML service time. Going back to the mid-point, Pujols will make $16 million this season as part of his 7-year, $100 million deal reached in 2004 – exactly the mid-point figure in the Howard case. The question then becomes, is Howard worth more than Pujols? Do his numbers support being more or less valuable than Pujols, who won the NL MVP this year?

Howard Vs. Howard – When talking about Howard’s case this year, using his record setting award last year comes into play. Howard and Casey Close will need to show that Howard’s numbers this year are good enough compared to last season to warrant the sizeable increase in salary they are asking for.

Projecting Howard in 2009 – In factoring in his salary, does Howard deserve his hefty requesting figure for 2009? Will he continue his pace, or rather, improve upon it? Using Baseball Prospectus’ PECOTA forecasting system, Howard would see marginal declines and increases across several key stats.

Pulling in the Pujols comparisons, along with Howard’s stats, gives us the following:

Pujols vs. Howard - 2008 (totals plus MLB rank)
Player
HRs
RBIs
SOs
OPS
Runs
BB
SLG
Ryan Howard
48 (1st)
146 (1st)
199 (2nd)
.881 (28th)
105 (14th)
81 (T-23rd)
.543 (13th)
Albert Pujols
37 (4th)
116 (4th)
54 (T-242)
1.114 (1st)
100 (T-27th)
104 (3rd)
.653 (1st)

 

Howard vs. Howard - 2007-2008 (totals plus MLB rank)
Year
HRs
RBIs
SOs
OPS
Runs
BB
SLG
2008
48 (1st)
146 (1st)
199 (2nd)
.881 (28th)
105 (14th)
81 (T-23rd)
.543 (13th)
2007
47 (3rd)
136 (4th)
199 (1st)
.976 (10th)
94 (T-39th)
107 (4th)
.584 (8th)

 

Howard's PECOTA Projections
Year
HRs
RBIs
SOs
OBP
Runs
BB
SLG
VORP
WARP
2008
44
118
175
.382
101
91
.563
42.8
5.2
2009
43
113
161
.383
99
92
.545
35.0
4.8

 

Does Howard Win His Arbitration Case?

When looking at the mid-point between Howard and the Phillies’ figures, taking into account his comparative numbers with Albert Pujols, and his projected stats for next season, will Howard win his case? As reported by Lauber, fellow players think so, and the Phillies front office is offering him praise.

"He keeps moving the bar from where good hitters have been in the past," Phillies second baseman Chase Utley said. "And the better you play, the more money you make."

"You continually learn from the process, but it's difficult in Ryan's case because he's really in uncharted waters," Phillies general manager Ruben Amaro Jr. said. "He's had the kind of success that's kind of beyond anybody who's been in his position."

As I noted in the article, this year, more than others, the outcome has broad-reaching implications.

"The stakes are so much higher," [I] said. "Teams are in a bunker mentality. They have no idea what revenues are going to be like. When Manny [Ramirez] isn't getting a third year, it's a problem. After winning the World Series, the Phillies are kind of in the catbird seat. But is Howard worth more than what Pujols is making, given the state of the economy? It may boil down to whether they can make a case that Howard has more upside [than Pujols]."

Last year, I thought the Phillies had a slam dunk. They had never lost in salary arbitration, had Tal Smith working for them, and the asking figure for a first time arbitration eligible player was higher than anything before. This year, I’m leaning toward Howard… barely. In reality, it’s a coin-flip. Compelling cases can be made on both sides, and with that, it will most likely boil down to who presents their case the best.

But, here’s the real deal. As those that watch salary arbitration will tell you, the players almost always come out ahead, even if they lose. If Howard loses his case, does he really lose? If the Phillies triumph at hearing, Howard will earn $14 million, or 40 percent more than he did last season. Name a job where “losing” to your employer gets you that kind of raise.

FOR MORE SIGNING DETAILS SEE:

Salary Arbitration Filings Tracker

Salary Arbitration Figures Tracker

Arbitration Scorecard

Free Agent Tracker


Maury BrownMaury Brown is the Founder and President of the Business of Sports Network, which includes The Biz of Baseball, The Biz of Football, The Biz of Basketball and The Biz of Hockey. He is contributor to Baseball Prospectus, and is available as a freelance writer. Brown's full bio is here. He looks forward to your comments via email and can be contacted through the Business of Sports Network.

Don't forget to register and log in on The Biz of Baseball site to get updates via your in-box, and see information only logged in members can see.

Subscribe to The Biz of Baseball

Add to GoogleAdd to My Yahoo!

Subscribe in Bloglines


 
 
Banner

Poll

Should MLB Force Jeffery Loria to Sell the Marlins?